PRIZEPICKS: UFC SAO PAULO: ALMEIDA VS. LEWIS

Marc Diakiese – Under 45.5 Significant Strikes

Marc Diakiese is facing Kyle Fernandez, who is making his UFC debut. While Fernandez is talented, Diakiese has recently transitioned into a wrestler and may focus more on grappling rather than striking. Therefore, it’s best to avoid this pick.

Denise Gomes – Under 75 ———————– Denise Gomes is facing Angela Hill, and the line for Gomes’ significant strikes is set at 75. While logically speaking, this line seems high, considering Gomes’ potential takedowns and finishing ability, Angela Hill is known for her durability. Gomes may not be the highest volume striker, so it’s best to go with the under on this pick.

Jalin Turner – Under 15.5 Significant Strikes

Jalin Turner’s line for significant strikes is set at 15.5. While Turner has gone above this number in some of his previous fights, his opponent, Derrick Lewis, is known for either knocking out his opponents early or quitting after being taken down and beaten up. Considering this, it’s unlikely that Turner will surpass 15.5 significant strikes in this fight.

Other Picks

There are a few other picks that are worth considering. Renato Moicano’s takedown lines are appealing, but it’s best to leave them alone since they are already set at high numbers. The Bon Brothers also have the potential to surpass their numbers, but again, the lines are already quite high. Eduardo Garagorri’s line is a bit juice, so it’s best to avoid that as well.

Fight Time Minutes

If you’re looking at fight time minutes, the fight between Jalin Turner and Derrick Lewis is likely to go to a decision. However, the line for fight time minutes is not worth touching. The same goes for the fight between Jamahal Hill and Darko Stosic, as it’s difficult to predict what will happen in just four minutes.

Final Picks

For our final picks, we have Kyle Baralho over two takedowns and Renato Moicano over three takedowns. These picks align with their fighting styles and previous performances. Both fighters have a tendency to shoot for takedowns, so it’s likely that they will meet or exceed these numbers.

Conclusion In conclusion, when it comes to PrizePicks for the UFC Sao Paulo event, there are a few picks that stand out. Marc Diakiese’s significant strikes line is best to avoid due to his recent focus on wrestling. Denise Gomes is likely to have fewer than 75 significant strikes against Angela Hill. Jalin Turner is unlikely to surpass 15.5 significant strikes against Derrick Lewis. Other picks, such as Renato Moicano’s takedowns and the Bon Brothers’ numbers, are already set at high levels and should be left alone. Fight time minutes for certain fights are not worth touching. Finally, our final picks are Kyle Baralho over two takedowns and Renato Moicano over three takedowns. Remember to take advantage of the free money offer by going to wewantpicks.com/prizepicks and using promo code “WWP”.

Video Transcription

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wwp let’s go ahead and build an entry

this card I feel is a pretty easy card

when it comes to picking winners but a

tricky card when it comes to some of

these props but we’ll go ahead and try

to find our spots the first one is Marc

deazi 45 and a half significant strikes

that is a tricky tricky one because Kyle

Fernandez is a UFC debut but he’s on a

wild like he’s good and I think he can

win this fight and Mark Dei all of a

sudden has become a wrestler so he may

be diving at legs grappling heavy and

not throwing strikes so we’re going to

leave that alone Denise Gomes same thing

75 a half significant strikes seems high

the less probably actually makes sense

here we’ll go ahead and add it and then

I’ll show you what I actually built the

less makes sense here because I think

she can get some takedowns I think she

could potentially finish the normally

very durable Angela Hill but the reality

is you know denisi Gomen is not the most

high volume person Angela Hill’s very

durable 75 and a half is a solid line

because

logically speaking you look at the

historical data you look where we are it

should go more but I think Angela Hill

is a little too old in enemy territory

Denise Gomes we have seen fight ending

power on more than one occasion um so

potentially less than 75 and a half

significant strikes uh I also like the

rat but we’re going to leave that alone

because I have him in the takedowns that

I’ll show you and the rest of these are

pretty tricky except the jol no made up

15 and a half significant strikes that

seems like a very number if you go

through his fight history um he has

gotten above that number a few times he

got above that with Shamil like he’s

gone above that number a few times but

what makes this fight unique is it’s

drick Lewis Derrick Lewis is either

going to knock you out immediately or

quit after he gets taken down and beaten

up a little bit I hate to call him a

quitter but we’ve seen him break we’ve

seen him just say forget it if you go

look at the Sergey SPAC versus Derrick

Lewis fight which I think this looks

like except even more dominant there was

not 50 18 and a half significant strikes

landed there so I think JT ala is going

to shoot instantly as we know he will

and on the ground I think is’s going to

be a little bit of peppering and then

you know he’ll grab a neck or grab his

back or something like that so I do not

think he will get past 15 and a half

significant strikes even though that

seems like a very low number and jolton

almea has more than one fight where that

number hasn’t been touched and so does

Derrick Lewis Derrick Lewis has more

than one fight where 15 and a half

significant strikes were not landed on

him win or lose and I feel like the

under on this number protects us on both

sides Derrick Lewis one punch early

knockout like his last fight well this

will still hit I’ll have other issues

but this will still hit fantasy score

I’m probably going to leave this alone

the only ones I would consider are the

over for renat but again I like his

takedown lines and then the Bon Brothers

can certainly get past their numbers but

we’re going to leave it alone because

these are pretty high numbers to begin

with and you know even with a all of a

sudden Gabriel bonim wins in the second

round instead of the first and he’s not

at 118 fantasy points Jolo made it he’s

already Juiced 120 fantasy points a lot

needs to happen to get there so I don’t

love any of these Fantasy Point lines

even eduarda MAA is a little bit juice

so we’ll go fight time minutes if we’re

looking at fight time minutes again rat

this should go to a decision I like I I

actually love all the rat lines but

we’re going to go takedowns on him vtor

patrino 11 fight minutes that is

probably a another more mesus is a

pretty tough guy vtor is a pretty tough

guy I think we can get uh Midway to the

third round or to a full decision um the

bonfim brothers we’re going to leave

both of those alone fince Michelle is

very tough Ishmael bonfim is a canonball

But Ken Cod to a decision we’ll leave

both of those alone and jam made a four

minutes what the hell you going to do

with four minutes so I’m not going to

touch that either and the very last one

that will go ahead and make something

happen o I’m flying over here Kyle

baralo over two takedowns I think that

that’s his path in this fight and every

other fight and then rat over three I

think renat is again that’s his path to

this fight and most others as well and

he’s gotten past three takedowns in the

majority of his fights he didn’t need to

in his last fight because he had that

fight ending power against a now retired

Kevin Lee but I think we can trust Kyo

and R not to do what they do which is

just dive at legs shoot takedown after

takedown so we do have a five entry here

I already have an entry built that I put

up I’ll walk you through that one and

this one we’re going to go ahead if I

want to leave this at 20 bucks 20 is

going to pay out 200 if I get four

correct meaning I got one of these wrong

I will still double my money if I get

three correct which means two of these

are wrong I’m still going to get some

money back we’re just going to

throw cool 10 at it because I already

have an entry built and let me show you

those entries so the one I just built

Denise GES fewer than 75 and a half

significant strikes and actually fewer

is the proper way to say it’s not less

it’s fewer but they’re not going to

write fewer out so they’ll just be

grammatically incorrect denisi Gomes

fewer than 75 and a half significant

strikes jolton all Madea fewer than 15

and a half significant strikes then we

went more on the fight minutes for vtor

more on takedowns for both Kyo and renat

the play that I did earlier 20 bucks to

win 100 it’s the exact same entry

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the jolton renat and Kyle whether you

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PRIZEPICKS: UFC Sao Paulo: Almeida vs. Lewis